Relative to a no-war counterfactual, the model sees the war as reducing the level of global GDP about 1.5 percent and leading to a rise in global inflation of about 1.3 percentage points. /Type /Page The Russia-Ukraine conflict will likely remain top of the agenda at the annual meeting. This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. 100, Songren Rd., Xinyi Dist., Taipei City 110, Taiwan. Global Farmer Insights 2022. /S /Transparency The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report. His predecessor, Luiz Incio Lula da Silva, looks certain to top the first-round presidential poll and potentially to win it outright. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries: this is Issued by BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report. /Group << If these measures result in slower growth, Xi will not care. /F1 27 0 R THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Incumbent Julius Maada Bio is currently the favourite to secure re-election. /Resources << The desire to prevent Ukraine falling into NATOs orbit remains as strong as ever in Moscow. Los Angeles Events - January 2023. The EU sanctions against Russia will likely be extended ahead of the deadline. /F2 28 0 R Emerging market corporate borrowers could suffer as a result. Your name, email address and other personal details will be processed in accordance with BlackRocks Privacy Policy for your specific country which you may read by accessing our website athttps://www.blackrock.com. In South Korea, this material is for distribution to the Qualified Professional Investors (as defined in the Financial Investment Services and Capital Market Act and its sub-regulations). But picking the final two proved problematic, particularly as there were so many smaller events that are likely to have outsized significance far beyond their brief moments of attention. In Taiwan, independently operated by BlackRock Investment Management (Taiwan) Limited. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. February 28, 2023 11:00 AM ET [11:00] (New York), February 22, 2023 09:30 AM ET [09:30] (New York), 03:30 PM CET [15:30] (Brussels), 10:30 PM SGT [22:30] (Singapore), Your Indispensable guide through the global recession. Geopolitical events typically have a modest and short-lived impact on markets and economies. In Italy: This document is marketing material. The anniversary is typically accompanied by an increase in propaganda from al-Qaida, its affiliates, and its sympathisers, including calls for attacks against the US, Israel, other countries, and local governments. Find the best upcoming events in Los Angeles, California: concerts, theater shows, sporting events, holiday events, social events, festivals, activities, live performances, comedy shows, pub crawls, and more! endobj /ProcSet [/PDF /Text /ImageB /ImageC /ImageI] This event took place on 02/26/2023. /F2 28 0 R /StructParents 1 For holiday hours or specific inquiries, please contact the businesses directly. /Font << Copyright, trademark and other forms of proprietary rights protect the Contents of this Website. Greenwashing is a growing concern in today's business world. /F5 31 0 R /Resources << >> RodgerBaker isexecutive director of the Stratfor Center for Applied Geopolitics at RANE. The information contained in this document, does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer of, invitation, inducement or proposal to make an offer for, recommendation to apply for or an opinion or guidance on a financial product, service and/or strategy. HW[o8~G? q The first edition of the BUlletin kicks off with a 'State of the Industry' review from Berne Union Secretary General, Vinco David, where he considers three factors which could disrupt the status quo for the export credit and investment insurance industry Editor in Chief and Director of Analysis, How Credit Insurance Supports the Real Economy. Sanchezs left-wing coalition has also shown signs of splintering, further casting doubt on his re-election chances. Track the status of job markets across the US through online job listings. You acknowledge that certain information contained in this Website supplied by third parties may be incorrect or incomplete, and such information is provided on an "AS IS" basis. This months contributors examine three economies seemingly at turning points Argentina, Iran and the Cte dIvoire considering in each case the forces actively inuencing the trade environment and the approach of the nancial Commentators this month focus on support for small businesses, local contractors and risk in Africa - including energy sector and analysis of the Mozambique debt crisis. /F3 29 0 R The biggest X-factor for 2022 is, of course, China. /GS5 22 0 R Top 10 Geopolitical Risks of 2022. In the United Arab Emirates is only intended for -natural Qualified Investor as defined by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) Chairman Decision No. For Other APAC Countries,Institutional Investors only (or professional/sophisticated /qualified investors, as such term may apply in local jurisdictions). /Tabs /S /Image107 74 0 R >> As a result of disappointing progress at COP27, members will be under pressure to make significant progress in securing commitments to reducing carbon emissions. /Type /Group >> However, since the earthquakes in February, several key figures in the government have proposed delaying the election. /Font << Export Credit and Investment Insurance, Today and Tomorrow. Once you have confirmed that you agree to the legal information herein, and thePrivacy Policy by indicating your consent we will place a cookie on your computer to recognise you and prevent this page from reappearing should you access this site, or other BlackRock sites, on future occasions. Politicking is likely to persist in the coming months. Tools to understand human capital management and corporate performance. Save. President George Weah of the ruling Coalition for Democratic Change (CDC) is currently the favourite to secure re-election despite growing public frustration with socioeconomic challenges and perceptions of corruption. License No375, Association Memberships: Japan Investment Advisers Association, the Investment Trusts Association, Japan, Japan Securities Dealers Association, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association.) >> The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central bank's outlook report. This Website has not been, and will not be submitted to become, approved/verified by, or registered with, any relevant government authorities under the local laws. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. All Contents are owned or controlled by BlackRock or the party credited as the provider of the Content. In Latin America, no securities regulator within Latin America has confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. This edition of the BUlletin juxtaposes themes of change and disorder with the celebration of a number of institutional anniversaries, symbolic of endurance. The UN Water Conference will focus on the linkages between water, health, sustainable development, climate resilience, and environmental cooperation. >> we use Market-Driven Scenarios (MDS) associated with each geopolitical risk event as a baseline for how market prices would respond to the realization of the risk event. 12 Big Geopolitical Events We Think Will Happen In 2015. The Shangri-La Dialogue will provide a forum to discuss critical regional security issues. We detail the key geopolitical events over the next year in the table below. Published July 25, 2022. The information contained within, does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer of, invitation or proposal to make an offer for, recommendation to apply for or an opinion or guidance on a financial product, service and/or strategy. /F6 50 0 R In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution. In the DIFC this material can be distributed in and from the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) by BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited Dubai Branch which is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA). /Font << Track the state of the business cycle for 12 global economies across Asia and Europe. Digitalisation as a business leadership imperative. His government will deploy all the resources necessary to ensure that troubles in the property sector do not blow up the economy. 2. The Conference Board uses cookies to improve our website, enhance your experience, and deliver relevant messages and offers about our products. Coupled with Japans shifting defense posture and continued Chinese military expansion, it portends a more contentious and unstable Northeast Asia in the coming year or two. /F5 31 0 R /G6 63 0 R << In Australia, public distribution. Yet that winter will pose new strains for some developed states, as publics press for increased freedom of movement and governments seek to press the vaccine-hesitant and the vaccine opposed to either accept the jab or suffer limits on their ability to work and move. % The divergence on vaccine progress between developed and developing countries, and to some extent within them, is mirrored by their economic prospects. BlackRock has not examined any of these websites and does not assume any responsibility for the contents of such websites nor the services, products or items offered through such websites. Primary tabs. /Contents [70 0 R 71 0 R 72 0 R] But Turkey is not alone among middle powers as the new multipolar system takes hold. /Length 1242 This Website is for your personal use. endobj /F1 27 0 R Finland and Swedens application to NATO will further solidify the split in Arctic governance, dividing the Arctic Council between NATO states and Russia, and thus undermining chances for the post-Cold War management mechanism to recover anytime soon. Turkeys facilitation of the Russia/Ukraine grain deal highlights the rising role of middle powers in a multipolar world. Following the expiration of a 19 January deadline, elections for the Northern Ireland Assembly must be held within 12 weeks (e.g., by 13 April) under current arrangements. 6 0 obj /Parent 2 0 R Where is the avalanche of claims and insolvencies expected to emerge from COVID-19?The picture so far is uneven across geographies, sectors and business linesAnd for the future? Continuity and Change in the Rise of Brazil. /GS8 21 0 R General elections, Sindh and Balochistan provincial elections, Seerist Core: your essential risk monitoring platform, ESG Country Monitor: understand your material exposure, Membership: a better way to Control Risks, Sanctions Country Monitor: intelligence on sanctions risks globally. \jKVBJQ[B=BUyHps>f|rsjN8 :L Meanwhile, decision-making is likely to slow as attention increasingly turns towards the elections. /StructParents 4 /F11 57 0 R US consumers thoughts on the economy, jobs, finances and more. >> << "Geopolitical events have rarely left a deep scar on markets but even before events escalated around Ukraine, markets were trying to come to terms with inflation and rate hikes . Yet beyond 2022, this will potentially store up troubles. For investors in Israel: BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is not licensed under Israels Regulation of Investment Advice, Investment Marketing and Portfolio Management Law, 5755-1995 (the Advice Law), nor does it carry insurance thereunder. Sierra Leone will hold general elections on 24 June 2023. Turkey's Economic Troubles. << /Group << While developed states will continue to be buoyed by strong household savings, cheap money and supportive fiscal policy, they will nevertheless be subject to turbulence. 00796793. On Feb. 24, the Russian armed forces invaded Ukraine, starting a military conflict of a magnitude not seen in Europe since the end of World War II. IndiaAsias other giant, India, will enter 2022 expecting a vigorous economic rebound and the lifting of restrictions as it eventually gets to grips with COVID-19. Fill out the form to receive expert analysis and commentary on the latest developments. endobj The US along with Costa Rica, the Netherlands, South Korea and Zambia will host the online second Summit for Democracy, amid rising concerns of weakening democratic institutions globally. /Resources << /StructParents 0 Neither the DFSA or any other authority or regulator located in the GCC or MENA region has approved this information. No information on this Website constitutes business, financial, investment, trading, tax, legal, regulatory, accounting or any other advice. /GS8 21 0 R Median Sold Price of Existing Single-Family Homes. Thank you, you have successfully been signed up for our Geopolitics Hub updates. Although the opposition is unified, ANR continues to be the strongest party in the country, which increases Peas electoral chances. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. Chinatown Business are generally opened Daily between 10am-6pm. Examines the health of the US economy from the perspective of CEOs. >> David Chmiel, Managing Director, Global Torchlight. In recent years, geopolitical megatrends have presented Australian businesses with new and rapidly evolving challenges. /F1 27 0 R /Image11 35 0 R A further threat looming over developing economies concerns debt and access to credit. On the other hand, it drives the further remilitarization of the Arctic, ending a period of science-focused cooperation and testing climate change research and Arctic protection. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL, Tel: +44 (0)20 7743 3000. /F7 24 0 R Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of G20 members will gather in Bengaluru (India) to discuss global financial issues, including energy prices and inflation rates. Within a broader group of developed states, there has been a shiftfrom the consumption of personal services to goods that will persist for some time. /G5 46 0 R Spain takes over from Czechia in the six-month rotating presidency of the Council of the EU, until 31 December 2023. 43288. 2022BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Some reconstituted supply chains will be shorter, thicker and have greater redundancy. The invasion of Ukraine by Russia was designed to decapitate the Ukrainian administration in just a matter of days. Rising US interest rates could complicate the task of rolling over this short term debt and also push up the cost of servicing debt through local currency depreciation. Top 10 geopolitical events of 2022 Ukraine-Russia War: On February 24, 2022, Russia invaded the former USSR country to annex its eastern regions and stop it from joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Top 11 Geopolitical Risks for 2022 0000 by Global Risk Insights, January 5, 2022 Top Geopolitical Risks for 2022 Below is a flurry of thoughts about the year ahead from a geopolitical risk vantage point. The G20 Leaders Summit will take place in New Delhi (India). This follows riots in Brasilia (Brazil) in January that mirrored those at the Capitol (US) in January 2021. It is the first meeting on the water security specifically since 1977. Every day of the year, Chinatown is a veritable movable feast for the senses, a vibrant center of commerce, tourism, culture and community. /XObject << Join us for a real-time take on how global economic trends and the big political issues will impact mid-market M&A in 2022. /F8 25 0 R << Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our, Detailed information on the use of cookies on this site is provided in our, CED Policy Brief: Ukraine War One Year Round-Up: Turkey's Crucial Role, CED Policy Brief: Ukraine One Year Round-Up: Sanctions Against Russia, CED Policy Brief: The Weekly Round-Up: Developments on Ukraine and Geopolitical Impact 40, CED Policy Brief: The Weekly Round-Up: Developments on Ukraine and Geopolitical Impact 39, Supply-Demand Imbalances, Uncertainty to Keep Oil Prices in Flux, Downgraded global GDP forecast, but no recession expected, The Ongoing Impact of the War in Ukraine on Corporate Citizenship, European Energy Policy at a Time of Geopolitical Instability, Fed Projects Hawkishness Amid War, Pandemic Crises, Sustainability Is the Pathway to Supply Chain Resilience, Think tank: War in Ukraine exerts economic effects, Access New Insights on the War in Ukraine, Five Questions Boards Should Ask About the War in Ukraine, GEOPOLITICS - PUBLIC POLICY, STRATEGY & RISK. While seemingly contradictory, this both increases the risks of short, sharp clashes between North Korean and South Korean (or even U.S. or Japanese) forces or assets and decreases the risk of rapid escalation to nuclear conflict or all-out war. /Type /Group Though asteroid mining and space colonies may still be far in the future, competition over access to space, future resources and the technology and prestige associated with space exploration is driving renewed focus on the ultimate strategic high ground. /Contents [11 0 R 12 0 R 13 0 R 14 0 R 15 0 R 16 0 R 17 0 R 18 0 R 19 0 R 20 0 R] >> 3 0 obj Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock. >> >> Past performance is not a guide to future performance. /ExtGState << The European Council of EU leaders will meet to discuss migration and competitiveness between the US and China. Office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL, TEL: +44 ( 0 ) 7743! 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